Rolex Paris Masters Best Bets and Picks for November 6

The final ATP Masters 1000 event of the 2026 tennis season is unfolding at Paris La Defense Arena.

Top players from around the world are competing for the Rolex Paris Masters title.

Friday, November 6, features a loaded quarterfinal slate.

This article covers the tennis predictions and best bets for that day.

The analysis comes from a handicapper at VSiN.

He has identified one strong parlay and hinted at additional plays on the Pro Picks page.

THE CORE PARLAY

The recommended play is a two-leg parlay.

Leg one: Tommy Paul to win at least one set against Ben Shelton.

Leg two: Carlos Alcaraz to win outright against Taylor Fritz.

The combined odds are -147.

The bettor is risking 1.5 units.

WHY PAUL IS FAVORED TO TAKE A SET

Tommy Paul has reached the quarterfinals without dropping a single set in Paris.

He looks rejuvenated, according to the handicapper.

His game style is described as a difficult matchup for Ben Shelton.

Paul is a world-class returner.

That means he will make Shelton work hard for every service hold.

His baseline game can bother Shelton.

Paul's court coverage is elite.

He redirects pace extremely well.

Shelton's backhand is considered a weakness.

Paul can exploit that by trading crosscourt forehands into that wing.

The handicapper expects Paul to move Shelton around the court.

He will force Shelton to play many balls from uncomfortable positions.

That should be enough for Paul to win at least one set.

WHY ALCARAZ IS PICKED OVER FRITZ

Carlos Alcaraz is the top-ranked player remaining in the draw.

World number one Alexander Zverev lost earlier in the tournament.

Alcaraz advanced to the quarterfinals after Matteo Berrettini withdrew with an elbow injury.

He has played only one match in Paris so far, a straight-sets win over Alex Michelsen.

The handicapper believes Alcaraz is heading toward another title.

Taylor Fritz is not expected to derail that run.

Even when Fritz plays well, Alcaraz's backhand can neutralize Fritz's two-handed backhand.

That is a problem for Fritz, as his two-hander is his most impactful baseline stroke.

Alcaraz's variety is a major factor in this matchup.

Fritz has a weak transition game.

Alcaraz can expose that with drop shots and short slices.

The handicapper sees this as a clear advantage for the Spaniard.

ADDED PLAYS ON THE PRO PICKS PAGE

The VSiN handicapper mentioned that he usually has more plays on the Pro Picks page.

Those plays count toward his official record.

They have been a big part of his success this season.

He plans to add several more plays throughout the day.

Readers are advised to refresh that page regularly.

QUARTERFINAL MATCHUPS ON FRIDAY

The Friday slate includes several compelling matches.

Ben Shelton vs. Tommy Paul is an all-American quarterfinal.

Shelton reached this stage by beating France's Arthur Rinderknech in a third-set tiebreak.

The score was 6-3, 4-6, 7-6 (7/5).

Shelton and Paul have not faced each other since Dallas two years ago.

Shelton lost that match.

He called Paul a great player and a great friend.

Taylor Fritz vs. Carlos Alcaraz is the other marquee quarterfinal.

Fritz beat French sixth seed Arthur Fils 6-3, 6-4 to advance.

He is still in contention for a spot at the ATP Finals.

Alcaraz has never won the Paris Masters.

He is a seven-time Grand Slam champion.

Luca Van Assche vs. Rinky Hijikata is the third quarterfinal.

Van Assche is a French local favorite.

He beat Lorenzo Musetti in a long three-set battle to reach this stage.

Hijikata is an Australian qualifier ranked No. 83.

He stunned Novak Djokovic in the second round.

He then beat Tomas Martin Etcheverry 2-6, 6-3, 7-5 to reach his first Masters quarterfinal.

Hijikata has climbed into the world's top 60 for the first time.

He will rise to No. 48 if he wins again.

Casper Ruud vs. an opponent from the remaining draw is the fourth quarterfinal.

Ruud beat Germany's Jan-Lennard Struff 6-3, 6-3 to close Thursday's action.

BACKGROUND ON THE TOURNAMENT

The Rolex Paris Masters is the final ATP Masters 1000 event of the season.

It is played indoors on hard courts at Paris La Defense Arena.

Masters 1000 events are the highest level of ATP tournament below the Grand Slams.

There are nine Masters 1000 tournaments each year.