Fils and Halys hold the keys to Tiafoe and Jodar’s Paris fate.

Race to Turin, daily: Fils and Halys hold the keys for Tiafoe and Jodar in Paris.

Tommy Paul beat Quentin Halys 7-6 (3), 6-4 on Thursday morning at the Rolex Paris Masters.

Paul moves to 2,925 points in the PIF ATP Live Race to Turin.

He stays alive but still needs to reach the final to pass Rafael Jodar.

Everything now rests on Arthur Fils against Taylor Fritz in the night session.

Fils, the sixth seed, is already qualified for the Nitto ATP Finals.

He became the first French player to qualify since Gael Monfils in 2016.

Fritz, the 11th seed, is still chasing a spot.

The match was moved to 7 p.m. local time after Matteo Berrettini’s withdrawal.

If Fils wins, Frances Tiafoe qualifies for Turin.

If Fritz wins, nothing is settled on Thursday.

Two places remain in the field.

Four men are still in contention.

Six players have already qualified: Alexander Zverev, Carlos Alcaraz, Ben Shelton, Daniil Medvedev, Flavio Cobolli and Fils.

Jannik Sinner is out for the season, so ninth place is the last place in.

Tiafoe currently sits on 3,390 points.

Jodar is on 3,234 points.

Paul is on 2,925 points after his win.

Fritz is still in play but must win to stay alive.

Tiafoe will qualify if Paul or Fritz loses, according to the ATP.

Jodar qualifies only if both Paul and Fritz lose.

Paul’s win keeps him in the race but with a steep path.

He needs to reach the final to pass Jodar.

Two more contenders fell on Wednesday.

Eighth seed Alex de Minaur lost 7-6 (2), 6-3 to Tomas Martin Etcheverry.

De Minaur needed a win to pass Jodar.

Now he is out of the race with no more points to win.

Novak Djokovic lost 2-6, 6-3, 6-3 to qualifier Rinky Hijikata.

Djokovic took the first set but could not close.

He also stays below Jodar with no more points available.

Tiafoe’s week ended in the second round.

He held four match points before losing 6-3, 1-6, 7-6 (9) to Halys.

That defeat sent Fils to Turin.

Zverev and Medvedev, both already qualified, also lost their opening matches.

Zverev lost 7-6 (5), 6-2 to Lorenzo Musetti.

Medvedev lost 6-4, 6-4 to Ignacio Buse.

Thursday’s night session is the decisive moment.

Fils faces Fritz in the third round at La Défense Arena.

The match is scheduled for approximately 1:00 p.m. Eastern Time.

Fils defeated Tomas Machac 6-3, 7-6 (4) in his opening match.

He held all 11 of his service games and won 92% of points behind his first serve.

Fritz has had a harder path to the round of 16.

He recovered from a set down to beat Benjamin Bonzi 3-6, 6-3, 6-4.

Then he edged qualifier Alex Molcan 6-7 (6), 7-5, 7-6 (5) in a three-hour battle.

Fritz struck 37 aces against Molcan.

He has been chasing a place at the ATP Finals with a deep run in Paris.

The head-to-head between Fils and Fritz is tied 1-1.

Fils won their 2024 Tokyo meeting.

Fritz won their most recent encounter in Basel after Fils retired.

Dimers’ predictive model gives Fils a 53% chance of winning.

BetMGM odds list Fils at -133 and Fritz at +114 on the moneyline.

Fils is also favored to win the first set at -125.

Fritz is at +100 to win the first set.

The under 25.5 games has a 59% chance of hitting, according to the model.