Jeremiah Smith Heisman odds surge after Malachi Toney injury

Malachi Toney's injury will have a major impact on the college football season.
It affects the College Football Playoff picture.
It reshapes the Heisman Trophy race.
The Miami star receiver was destined for New York.
Now his absence opens the door for other contenders.
In a sick twist of fate, the Heisman candidate who benefits most from Toney's absence might be his Miami teammate, quarterback Darian Mensah.
The electric duo was going to split votes.
Now Mensah could make a push for the award while Toney is out.
He starts on Saturday night against No. 11 Notre Dame.
On the other side of that matchup, Notre Dame quarterback CJ Carr can assert himself against Mensah.
He can finally push himself into that top tier of favorites.

Then there is Jeremiah Smith.
He was the clear frontrunner for the Heisman Trophy until Julian Sayin's injury.
Now that Smith won't have to keep up with Toney's torrid pace, his path to college football's greatest individual honor is wide open.
He will have to do it with a true freshman at quarterback.
The stakes of Saturday night's showdown in South Bend were already sky-high.
They just became stratospheric for the quarterbacks.
Mensah is right there with Smith as one of the two clear favorites to win the award.
What if he goes on the road against a national championship contender and pulls out a win without his top wide receiver?
Based on Miami's remaining schedule, they might want to get a jump on etching Mensah's name into the award.
Meanwhile, Carr has been holding steady behind the top tier of favorites for a while.
This is his chance to make a move.

To this point, Notre Dame's schedule hasn't done Carr any favors.
He hasn't really needed to post huge numbers to pick up wins.
The loss to BYU hurt his stock a bit.
That said, Carr has been efficient with 8.3 yards per attempt and 18 touchdowns to one interception.
This game against the Hurricanes may be his best shot to wow the Heisman voters.
North Carolina's Billy Edwards Jr. just exploded for 341 yards against the Miami secondary.
There are holes.
Can Carr find and exploit them?
One of these two quarterbacks will need a Heisman moment to win the game.
Whoever finds it may have the upper hand going into the last few weeks of the season.
With quarterback Julian Sayin out indefinitely with an injury, Smith's path has widened again.

Kalshi's Heisman market is now leaning on Smith to win.
Smith leads the board at 38% after Toney was injured.
His quarterback, Darian Mensah, also lost ground.
Smith was under 20% just 24 hours ago.
Toney's injury news sent Smith surging to nearly 40%.
A $10 trade on Smith winning the Heisman profits $15.21.
Malachi Toney suffered a high ankle sprain that will require surgery.
It will force him out of the remainder of the regular season.
There is a potential College Football Playoff return.
With that, he is no longer a contender for the Heisman.
While the injury had a positive impact on Jeremiah Smith's price, Miami QB Darian Mensah took a hit.

On the season, Mensah has completed 188 of 233 passes.
That is 80.7 percent.
He has thrown for 2,425 yards, 25 touchdowns, and just one interception.
Toney is responsible for 73 of those completions.
He accounted for 1,027 yards and 13 touchdowns.
Miami's depth at receiver is not what they had hoped for.
All other pass catchers are sitting under 400 yards for the season.
Only three receivers have caught more than 20 passes behind Toney.
Jeremiah Smith was trending down prior to the Toney news.
That was mainly due to Ohio State's quarterback questions with Julian Sayin out indefinitely with a right elbow injury.
Ohio State turned to Luke Fahey at quarterback in Week 9 against USC.

Smith did not benefit at all from the QB change.
He posted just 83 yards and a touchdown.
That was his second-lowest receiving-yard total of the season.
For the season, Smith has totaled 62 receptions for 1,067 yards and 13 touchdowns.
He has been on a bit of a skid over the last three weeks.
He has stayed under 100 yards in each of those games.
Looking at the remaining four games on Ohio State's schedule, the defenses are tough.
Oregon, Nebraska, and Michigan all allow less than 210 receiving yards per game this season.
Smith will need to produce against those defenses.
He will need to do it with a true freshman or a backup quarterback.
The race is now wide open.
Two quarterbacks face off on Saturday with everything to gain.
A receiver who was fading is suddenly the betting favorite again.
The next few weeks will determine who really deserves to be in New York.
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